Forecast Verification

Welcome to the modules on forecast verification. The modules are designed both for users of verification results, who wish to understand what the results really mean, and those who wish to dabble in verification methodology themselves.

There are 4 modules in this course. The introductory module covers general issues about reasons for verifying, and the different types of forecast and observation data used in verification. The other modules are organized by type of forecast. If you are new to the subject of verification, then it is highly recommended that you complete the introductory module, which will help put the other modules into better perspective. If, on the other hand, you already know what a "deterministic forecast of a continuous variable", or a "probability forecast of a categorical variable" is, then feel free to skip the generalities of the introduction and go directly to the modules on the various forecast types.

You can return to this index page at any point by clicking on the icon on the left hand side which looks like this:

Module Index

Introduction

Verification of continuous variables

Verification of categorical forecasts

Verification of probability and ensemble forecasts

Credits
Content
Laurence Wilson (Environment Canada) and Pertti Nurmi (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Storyboards
Laurence Wilson (Environment Canada)
IT authoring
Sigbritt Näsman (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Project Manager
Pertti Nurmi (Finnish Meteorological Institute)