Rapid Cyclogenesis Case Study

Define rapid cyclogenesis

To diagnose the precursor of cyclogenesis using conceptual models.

Recognise signals within model fields that indicate the likelihood of rapid cyclogenesis.

To diagnose development using real time satellite and observational data.

 

Level of knowledge and experience equivalent to or greater than a operational forecaster.

Skills:-

  • Satellite imagery interpretation.
  • Broadscale interpretation.
  • Model analysis.

Desirable:-

  • Understanding of vorticity.
  • Understanding of conveyor belt theory.






Navigating this Module

This module will take you through the life cycle of a rapidly deepening depression over the eastern Atlantic. Each section will take the form of a question or series of questions, to address each stage of the forecasting process through the event.

Our story begins in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean on Monday 19 April 2004.

There is an extensive list of specially compiled reference texts linked to the module at every stage. There are also a number of direct links to take you to other sites which contain information or additional training material on the subject.

Use the "book" icon on the left to see a list of the reference sources at any time.

A summary of the whole case is presented in the final section.

Credits
Content
Jason Bradley (Met Office, UK), Ian Mills (Met Office, UK), David Rogers (Met Eireann)
Storyboards
Jason Bradley (Met Office, UK), Ian Mills (Met Office, UK), David Rogers (Met Eireann)
IT authoring
Ian Mills and Jason Bradley (Met Office, UK)
Project Manager
Julie Turner
Reference material
Images in weather forecasting, M.J. Bader, G.S. Forbes, J.R. Grant, R.B.E. Lilley, and A.J Waters; Manual of Synoptic Satellite Meteorology (Sat Manu); Conceptual Models of Cyclogenesis, Adrian T Semple.